Updated: Dec 12, 2020
Texas now has a county-selectable dashboard. This is Harris County, where Houston is located. Based on the 18-day lag, Houston has just recently finished up its period of gradual increase, and is now entering its period of skyrocketing death counts.
The analysis done previously saw a lag of about 5 days between new cases and hospitalization increases, so Houston's hospitalization pressures now correspond to the rise in cases which began about June 16.
They don't make a Houston-only hospitalization trend graph, but here is the Texas graph for hospitalizations, which indeed steepens its slope right on June 21.
All opinions expressed in this blog are solely those of the authors, and do not reflect those of University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, or any organizations of which either is a member.