ANALOGICA

Modeling the World

Numbers are living things. They have substance, meaning, a life cycle. They have speed and direction and dimension. They can inform us, alarm us, encourage us, threaten us, and even inspire us. They are our path to understanding.
Analogica offers a view of the world that respects the numbers and presents them honestly, while looking forward in a way that both confronts reality and creates a fresh perspective, one built upon not just the what and when and where of the world around us, but the how and the why...

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Analogica

Jan 16, 20213 min read

COVID-19: Is the Third Wave Finally Peaking?

By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson The Third Wave of COVID-19 has been long and complicated. The shape of the two preceding waves followed...

Analogica

Jan 10, 20212 min read

COVID-19: The Holiday Data Fog Clears

By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson The post-holiday period has long been predicted by the medical experts to be a very difficult period in...

Analogica

Jan 3, 20212 min read

COVID-19: A Preliminary Post-Holiday Report

By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson The third wave of COVID-19 infections began on September 13, 2020. On that day the 7-day average of new...

Analogica

Dec 23, 20205 min read

COVID-19: The Fog of War

By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson We are entering yet another period of new developments in the progress of the COVID-19 pandemic, which...

Analogica

Dec 18, 20204 min read

COVID-19: Direction of the Trend

By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson As the COVID-19 pandemic moves through its 3rd and by far the largest wave in the US, we would like to...

Analogica

Dec 12, 20204 min read

The COVID-19 Third Wave: A Follow-Up Analysis

On November 15th, this blog presented three possible scenarios for the progression of the 3rd wave. This analysis looked at the two...

Analogica

Dec 9, 20203 min read

Was There a Thanksgiving COVID-19 Spreader Effect?

Medical experts urged families to stay home and limit their gatherings during the Thanksgiving holidays. Some followed this advice, but...

Analogica

Dec 8, 20201 min read

COVID-19 Prediction: 7-day average of deaths will continue to rise

Over the period from Oct. 20 to Nov. 20, the average ratio of deaths divided by hospitalizations on a 6-day lag is 2.06%. Multiplying...

Analogica

Dec 8, 20203 min read

NYT is Tracking COVID Hospitalizations

There are at least two important new sources of information about hospitalizations due to COVID-19 now. The New York Times has been...

Analogica

Dec 5, 20203 min read

Hospitalizations-to-Cases Ratio Clarifies Climb in Deaths

With hospitalizations climbing, the COVID-19 crisis is clearly escalating. This blog earlier presented an analysis which estimated the...

Analogica

Dec 3, 20201 min read

The Daily COVID-19 Picture

The chart of daily COVID-19 makes trends difficult to see, because it continually leaps up and down, depending on the day of the week....

Analogica

Nov 30, 20202 min read

The Daily COVID-19 Picture

From upper left: The chart of daily COVID-19 makes trends difficult to see, because it continually leaps up and down, depending on the...

Analogica

Nov 15, 20208 min read

Analysis: The Dangers of COVID's Third Wave

By Jerald Hughes (Scott Robinson and Scott LaJoie contributed to this analysis) With COVID-19 infections spreading in the U.S. at an...

Analogica

Nov 15, 20202 min read

The COVID Third Wave: It Will Go Long, and the Death Count Will Be High

By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson Nov. 14, 2020 As the third wave of COVID-19 continues to climb, unsettling questions loom: how long...

Analogica

Nov 10, 20201 min read

The COVIC Pandemic: We Need to Be Watching Hospitalizations

The doctors have noted all along that there is a time sequence in the measures of COVID-19 that we need to watch. The July 8 post below...

Analogica

Nov 10, 20201 min read

The COVIC Pandemic is out of control

The COVID-19 pandemic is now raging utterly out of control in the U.S. The steady rise in the number of new daily cases identified began...

Analogica

Nov 10, 20201 min read

Presidential Speech Content - Debate 2

There's more to the substance of a presidential candidate's speech content than the raw wordcloud. Analysis of the text degenerated...

Analogica

Nov 10, 20201 min read

Presidential Speech Content

And here is the simple Shannon comparison between the two for Debate 2. We see the same pattern as in Debate 1: More words spoken by...

Analogica

Nov 10, 20201 min read

Presidential Wordclouds - Debate 1

You can judge a presidential contender by many things: his demeanor, his public service record, the behavior of his constituency. Turns...

Analogica

Nov 10, 20203 min read

Leading and Lagging Indicators

The order of events in a COVID-19 case which does not recover is basically: Exposed Tested Hospitalized Death The count of new cases...

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ANALOGICA

COVID-19: Is the Third Wave Finally Peaking?

COVID-19: The Holiday Data Fog Clears

COVID-19: A Preliminary Post-Holiday Report

COVID-19: The Fog of War

COVID-19: Direction of the Trend

The COVID-19 Third Wave: A Follow-Up Analysis

Was There a Thanksgiving COVID-19 Spreader Effect?

COVID-19 Prediction: 7-day average of deaths will continue to rise

NYT is Tracking COVID Hospitalizations

Hospitalizations-to-Cases Ratio Clarifies Climb in Deaths

The Daily COVID-19 Picture

The Daily COVID-19 Picture

Analysis: The Dangers of COVID's Third Wave

The COVID Third Wave: It Will Go Long, and the Death Count Will Be High

The COVIC Pandemic: We Need to Be Watching Hospitalizations

The COVIC Pandemic is out of control

Presidential Speech Content - Debate 2

Presidential Speech Content

Presidential Wordclouds - Debate 1

Leading and Lagging Indicators

CONTACT

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