The following is a chart of Texas cases and deaths, with deaths re-scaled to overlay the two series of numbers.
This was done to see the presence or lack of curve fit on the lagged death data, on the theory that cases are discovered earlier than deaths.
For the Texas data from covidtracking.com, the best fit appeared to be on a 19-day lag.
My comment: Holy s--t.
To understand why, look at the chart of just Texas cases in a larger time context. The combined lag chart only takes us up through cases on June 6.
This is a relatively SLOW increase in cases in Texas. On June 16 the cases in Texas skyrockets.
All opinions expressed in this blog are solely those of the authors, and do not reflect those of University of Texas Rio Grande Valley, or any organizations of which either is a member.