COVID-19: Is the Third Wave Finally Peaking?
By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson The Third Wave of COVID-19 has been long and complicated. The shape of the two preceding waves followed...
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ANALOGICA
Modeling the World
Numbers are living things. They have substance, meaning, a life cycle. They have speed and direction and dimension. They can inform us, alarm us, encourage us, threaten us, and even inspire us. They are our path to understanding.
Analogica offers a view of the world that respects the numbers and presents them honestly, while looking forward in a way that both confronts reality and creates a fresh perspective, one built upon not just the what and when and where of the world around us, but the how and the why...
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COVID-19: The Holiday Data Fog Clears
By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson The post-holiday period has long been predicted by the medical experts to be a very difficult period in...
COVID-19: A Preliminary Post-Holiday Report
By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson The third wave of COVID-19 infections began on September 13, 2020. On that day the 7-day average of new...
COVID-19: The Fog of War
By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson We are entering yet another period of new developments in the progress of the COVID-19 pandemic, which...
COVID-19: Direction of the Trend
By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson As the COVID-19 pandemic moves through its 3rd and by far the largest wave in the US, we would like to...
The COVID-19 Third Wave: A Follow-Up Analysis
On November 15th, this blog presented three possible scenarios for the progression of the 3rd wave. This analysis looked at the two...
Was There a Thanksgiving COVID-19 Spreader Effect?
Medical experts urged families to stay home and limit their gatherings during the Thanksgiving holidays. Some followed this advice, but...
COVID-19 Prediction: 7-day average of deaths will continue to rise
Over the period from Oct. 20 to Nov. 20, the average ratio of deaths divided by hospitalizations on a 6-day lag is 2.06%. Multiplying...
NYT is Tracking COVID Hospitalizations
There are at least two important new sources of information about hospitalizations due to COVID-19 now. The New York Times has been...
Hospitalizations-to-Cases Ratio Clarifies Climb in Deaths
With hospitalizations climbing, the COVID-19 crisis is clearly escalating. This blog earlier presented an analysis which estimated the...
The Daily COVID-19 Picture
The chart of daily COVID-19 makes trends difficult to see, because it continually leaps up and down, depending on the day of the week....
The Daily COVID-19 Picture
From upper left: The chart of daily COVID-19 makes trends difficult to see, because it continually leaps up and down, depending on the...
Analysis: The Dangers of COVID's Third Wave
By Jerald Hughes (Scott Robinson and Scott LaJoie contributed to this analysis) With COVID-19 infections spreading in the U.S. at an...
The COVID Third Wave: It Will Go Long, and the Death Count Will Be High
By Jerald Hughes & Scott Robinson Nov. 14, 2020 As the third wave of COVID-19 continues to climb, unsettling questions loom: how long...
The COVIC Pandemic: We Need to Be Watching Hospitalizations
The doctors have noted all along that there is a time sequence in the measures of COVID-19 that we need to watch. The July 8 post below...
The COVIC Pandemic is out of control
The COVID-19 pandemic is now raging utterly out of control in the U.S. The steady rise in the number of new daily cases identified began...
Presidential Speech Content - Debate 2
There's more to the substance of a presidential candidate's speech content than the raw wordcloud. Analysis of the text degenerated...
Presidential Speech Content
And here is the simple Shannon comparison between the two for Debate 2. We see the same pattern as in Debate 1: More words spoken by...
Presidential Wordclouds - Debate 1
You can judge a presidential contender by many things: his demeanor, his public service record, the behavior of his constituency. Turns...
Leading and Lagging Indicators
The order of events in a COVID-19 case which does not recover is basically: Exposed Tested Hospitalized Death The count of new cases...
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